< meta name="DC.Date.Valid.End" content="20050825"> Amendment Nine: The Elephant in the Room

Saturday, October 14, 2006

The Elephant in the Room

Seems Charlie Cook is reading the tea leaves and the tea leaves ain't good for GOP Pols. We all know this by now. The chances for the Republicans to not only lose the House, but be absolutely inundated in a sea of blue, are very high.

But why doesn't anyone at the same time discuss what is so obviously the elephant in the room which can change the whole ballgame.


Let's game this out on domestic politics (rather than geopolitics). If an Iran attack occurs prior to the election, is it in or out? Do Dems support or oppose? Do polls go red or blue?

In my view, the whole thing would backfire. Americans are in a cynical mood. We won't let cynical maneuvers with our military get in the way of cleaning things up. Maybe I'm optimistic, but I think there's some historical guidance. My hypothesis: an attack on Iran would only further isolate the GOP. Discuss.